The Right Coast

October 29, 2004
Bush's task in Iraq is easier than Kerry's
By Mike Rappaport

Many bloggers, such as Andrew Sullivan, have argued that Kerry could do a better job in Iraq than Bush. I seriously doubt it, but their analysis makes another mistake. It assumes that it will be as easy for Kerry to fight in Iraq as it is for Bush.

The whole world assumes that Kerry is less committed in Iraq than Bush. If Kerry wins, the terrorists are likely to increase their attacks in an effort to test Kerry and to persuade him to withdraw from Iraq. By contrast, Bush's win is, if anything, likely to lead to a reduction in attacks, since some of the attacks appear to have been designed to cause Bush to lose the election.

Thus, if Bush wins, he will have an easier task in Iraq than Kerry will have if he wins.